I don’t know. Maybe it’s a “freedom ain’t nothing but nothing left to lose”. I just detect an unnatural and irrational exuberance among the “true” right-blogs. Something is going on here, and I feel good about this election.
I am resigned if things don’t go our way, but I have an optimism I can’t explain. I just feel, deep in my gut, that we are going to prevail. I don’t even feel it’s a Hail Mary or a long-shot, I feel it as if it were a certainty, that I know this country, and the drumbeat of small stories has begun to peel away Obama’s mask in the perfect time-frame: the last couple of weeks, when people are really listening. I feel that many many many people are going to make up their mind when they stare at that touch screen or punch card of pencil card, and they are going to go McCain, the solid, honest, decent man, rather than the hip, glib, urbane slickster who hates them and hates America and everything it stands for.
I feel it with every bone in my body. I’d damn sure rather be on McCain’s side losing than Obama’s winning, and they are the ones who are nervous, not us.
I think the biggest upset in modern history is going to go down, and with it every pollster (never again will they be given the slightest credence, as everyone will be able to point to this election) and the MSM and the pundits, and the false Republicans like Powell and Will and Noonan and Co. and the fly-over people, exemplified in Palin, will win. I just can’t see her and McCain losing.
If I’m wrong, I’m wrong about everything I know and everything I hold dear. I just believe it to be true. We’re going to win, and if PA goes McCain’s way, he won’t just cherry pick PA, it means he’ll win VA and NV and maybe even CO and IA and, god help us, MN as well.
There’s a righteous wind blowing all right, but it sure ain’t behind the man who coldly spoke of bankrupting hard working people or deporting his own aunt with a cool detachment of an automaton. It will be behind the man who can’t raise his arms because he stayed in a Viet Cong prison because of honor and country.
We can hold our heads up, whatever happens. The Obamatons will slink in the shadows and roll in the dirt when the truth about this entire campaign begins to unravel, as it did for Clinton (remember the China connexion?).
I can’t wait to see their faces.
update: When I wrote “I’d rather be with McCain losing than Obama winning” I meant that I think we’re in a better position, seemingly losing in the polls, than Obama is ahead in the polls: think of it: who usually wins a football game, or a pennant series? The team sitting on a lead, or the team with momentum?
I’ve been irritated (as usual) with the stories saying polls are “trending’ Obama. They aren’t. Not even the flawed ones. They are “trending” McCain, he’s still behind, but it’s tightening. That means he’s gaining, whatever you want to call it, momentum is FOR McCain and AGAINST Obama: if he was up 11 pts. last week and is only up 4pts this week, he’s losing ground. And this is the ideal time to be gaining. This is when upsets happen, when momentum’s inertia keeps moving past the time when they can poll. If McCain evened up all those battleground polls in the last 48 hours, chances are great that he’ll slide even higher in the 24 hours the pollsters can’t touch.
And all that is even beside the fact that their skewing of the polls means Obama needs 10pts minimum of false pad to REALLY be ahead.
I feel good. I feel juiced and without any of the dread and foreboding I’ve felt in the past few weeks. It’s as if a weight has been lifted. I feel there’s been a sea change, something in the wind, I dunno. Something. Women’s intuition?
We’re going to win, and I _don’t_ think it will be a squeaker. I think McCain will do 300+ EVs. 311 is my final call on that, with my little RCP widget to help.
Bill Whittle and Spengler are the smartest writers I know. They have both written definitive columns on why Obama will lose, and I still believe them, even long after they were written and a lot has changed, the fundamentals remain so:
Spengler’s: Why Obama Will Lose (written during the Dem convention)